Khamenei chose to not go into hiding, he may have not known how much threat he was under, but trying to change Iran by eliminating him making him a martyr was the wrong move. The Puzzle of Iran just became far harder to put back together in a better way.
There is a generally accepted rule in war, end all predictability. Ayatollah Khamenei had been at war since well before 1979 and the ousting of Shah of Iran. He had been arrested no fewer than 8 times during the rule of the Shah of Iran. In 1980 during the first year of the Islamic Revolution, he would be horribly wounded by a cassette recorder with a bomb placed inside it. He would lose the use of one arm and hand. As time went on he would become a senior revolutionary leader, and his lineage dating back to the beginnings of Islam and the Shia faith, would assist his rise. In 1982, he was one of only three Iranian leaders to push for an all out invasion of Iraq and to not accept a ceasefire. In 1989, Ayatollah Khomeini would change his plan of succession and instead of appointing Ayatollah Montezari, Kahamenei was chosen. In his time as Supreme Leader, Khamenei saw Iran repel the Iraqi invasion of 1980, and to manage to fight for a stalemate war, where Saddam Hussein saw no victory and instead reluctantly accepted Iran’s courage though never publicly. In the aftermath of the Iran-Iraq War Saddam Hussein would attempt to push Iran to normalize relations with Iraq to creating a Untied front for possible U.S. aggression in the region. Khamenei likely never took this as a real possibility. Khamenei would show over and over that his actions were taken with a deep belief based on Shia theology and less on pure pragmatism. Khamenei’s interpretation of Shia belief would be the cause for his continuation of the belief that Atomic Weapons represented a course of action not sanctioned by his belief system. He issued a fatwa against the development of Atomic Weapons.
Ayatollah Khamenei, was a key factor for why Iran still has not developed Atomic weapons. While many in the West do not take the Fatwa at face value, however the fact that in 2026 Iran still has not developed a weapon with an Atomic Program which goes back decades should lend some credibility to this. In fact, the U.S. justification for war in Iraq and now Iran reeks of absolute ignorance and deceptiveness. No case for war existed, as Iran was potentially was years if not decades away from even being able to develop true atomic weapons. The U.S. has changed the reason for war on Iraq no less than five times, and for Iran in just the last few days three to four stories have been supported.
Ayatollah Khamenei, seemed prepared to become a martyr and hence when his time came he simply accepted it. He likely knew that whatever would replace him or his government, would be worse than his form of governance. The Islamic revolution in Iran was one of the worst events of the 20th century. Unfortunately, Islamic revolution took place with tacit approval from the US. The U.S. is counting on a group of people to emerge who will come out and say Iran abandons it’s atomic program and is open to the U.S., this is not likely to happen. Instead, a hardcore element in the IRGC is likely to take over even if it takes a civil war. The only way to have had a real change in governance was to continue with engagement and the use of sanctions. It seems that Ayatollah Khamenei knew far better than anyone what lays in the shadows of Iran’s realities. Regardless of how we view Iran’s regime, it is clear changing it for the better is not going to be an easy task, and military intervention is likely only going to make matters worse.
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